Nothing Supports This Silly Forecast

This article is grossly misleading on many levels.

1. Self-driving vehicles will change everything about how societies are organized and the respective economics, with the impact reaching its inflection point within a decade.
2. Global economic competition for this market will be so fierce that it will entirely change industry dynamics for both manufacturers and services within a decade.
3. Associated cost savings and safety factors will dictate a nonlinear change in the labor situation within a decade.
4. Autonomous vehicles are symptomatic of the larger trend toward autonomous systems, which means fewer jobs as we go out in time.
5. There are only three workforce economies — agricultural, industrial, and service (e.g., from hospitality to knowledge). Unlike past workforce transitions, where there was new economy to migrate jobs into, and sufficient generational time to complete the transition without major socioeconomic chaos, neither is true now.

Throwing out an isolated statistic about self-driving cars benefitting those in poverty seems disingenuous at best. That the change over will take 40 years seems ill-informed.

Doc Huston